Superforecasting

In a world where predictions shape decisions, "Superforecasting" by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan M. Gardner unveils the secrets of those who consistently forecast with uncanny accuracy. This groundbreaking book challenges conventional wisdom about expert predictions and introduces us to a group of ordinary people who outperform even seasoned intelligence analysts. Through rigorous research and real-world examples, Tetlock and Gardner reveal the techniques and mindsets that set these superforecasters apart. They explore how anyone can cultivate these skills to make better predictions in their personal and professional lives. Get ready to discover the power of probability, the importance of intellectual humility, and the art of updating beliefs in the face of new evidence. "Superforecasting" isn't just about predicting the future; it's about understanding the present and making smarter choices in an uncertain world.

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